No filly has won the Preakness since 1924. Rachel Alexandra will not be able to run away from this field. She will be challenged early and not have the breezy run she had in the Oaks. The fast past up front will again play right into the Derby winner’s hands, setting up another come from behind win. Mike Smith for Calvin Borel is an upgrade. The following is my predicted order of finish:
First Mine That Bird
Second Musket Man
Third Rachel Alexandra
Fourth Terrain
Long shot: Terrain was well regarded in Louisiana Derby and Blue Grass Stakes. Loves to run late and Saturday it could work. Odds are way too long for a horse this good.
What to bet: Mine That Bird to win. Exacta box: Mine That Bird, Musket Man, Terrain, General Quarters, Rachel Alexandra. Trifecta box: Mine That Bird, Musket Man, Terrain, Rachel Alexandra.
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